![]() Along with the flagging population data, China also reported one of its worst economic growth numbers in nearly half a century last year, underscoring the steep challenges the country faces as its labor force shrinks and the ranks of the retired swell.īeijing’s leaders have sought to downplay the significance of being overtaken by India. India overtaking China will have significant economic implications for both Asian giants. Opinion: Asia is hurtling toward a tectonic power shift REUTERS/Anushree Fadnavis Anushree Fadnavis/Reuters/FILE ![]() People shop at a crowded market ahead of Diwali, the Hindu festival of lights, in the old quarters of Delhi, India, October 11, 2022. The birth rate also fell to a record low of 6.77 births per 1,000 people, down from 7.52 a year earlier and the lowest level since the founding of Communist China in 1949. But, contrary to public perception, population growth has been slowing in both countries – particularly in China, which recorded a population decline for the first time in six decades last year.Ĭhina’s population fell in 2022 to 1.411 billion, down some 850,000 people from the previous year, according to China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). The United States is a very distant third, with an estimated population of 340 million, the data, which reflects information available as of February, showed.īy 2050, eight countries will account for half the projected growth in global population: The Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, the Philippines and Tanzania, according to the UNFPA report.Ĭhina has held the distinction of most populous country since at least 1950, when the UN population records began.Ĭhina and India together will account for more than a third of the estimated global population, which is expected to hit 8.045 billion by mid-year, the UN report said. India’s last census was in 2011 and most recent, scheduled in 2021, was delayed during the Covid-19 pandemic. UN officials have said it is not possible to determine the exact date for the shift, due to “uncertainty” about the data coming from China and India. India is set to surpass China as the world’s most populous nation, with almost 3 million more people by the middle of this year, data released by the United Nations on Wednesday showed.īased on the projections, India’s population by mid-year will reach 1.4286 billion, compared to China’s 1.4257 billion – 2.9 million fewer – according to the United Nations Population Fund’s (UNFPA) “State of World Population Report” for 2023.
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